- Matches played
- 104/121
- Goals per match
- 3.89 405 goals
- Home · Draw · Away
- Both scored · Over 2.5
- 62%· 70% 18 red cards
Dixon-Coles + Elo (öğrenen)
computed from 563 league matches · as of 2 Nov 20:07
| # | Team | Elo | 30 days | Attack | Defence | Form | Table | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1643 | −7 | 1.42 | 0.76 | 1. | 0 | ||
| 2 | 1638 | −34 | 1.62 | 0.75 | 2. | 0 | ||
| 3 | 1637 | −14 | 1.23 | 0.74 | 3. | 0 | ||
| 4 | 1612 | +46 | 1.10 | 0.76 | 4. | 0 | ||
| 5 | 1562 | +53 | 1.19 | 0.91 | 6. | −1 | ||
| 6 | 1561 | +56 | 1.02 | 0.92 | 5. | +1 | ||
| 7 | 1516 | −39 | 1.02 | 1.05 | 7. | 0 | ||
| 8 | 1485 | −49 | 1.01 | 0.98 | 11. | −3 | ||
| 9 | 1480 | +12 | 0.94 | 1.08 | 9. | 0 | ||
| 10 | 1479 | +38 | 0.95 | 1.07 | 8. | +2 | ||
| 11 | 1459 | +26 | 1.13 | 1.18 | 12. | −1 | ||
| 12 | 1454 | −36 | 0.83 | 1.03 | 10. | +2 | ||
| 13 | 1392 | −52 | 0.83 | 1.32 | 15. | −2 | ||
| 14 | 1368 | +16 | 0.71 | 1.25 | 14. | 0 | ||
| 15 | 1352 | +34 | 0.75 | 1.43 | 13. | +2 | ||
| 16 | 1308 | −50 | 0.68 | 1.48 | 16. | 0 |
How is it computed?
Elo
Elo sums up each team's strength in one number: a better-than-expected result raises it, a worse one lowers it. Beating a strong opponent earns more points; around 1500 is the league average.
Attack / Defence
Team factors from the Dixon-Coles model: 1.00 is the league average. Attack 1.30 → 30% more expected goals than average; defence 0.80 → 20% fewer expected goals conceded (lower is better).
Luck
The gap between table position and power rank. Teams above their strength in the table count as lucky and tend to drop back; teams below it tend to recover. Not a betting reason on its own.
