- المباريات الملعوبة
- 136/177
- الأهداف لكل مباراة
- 3.59 488 هدفًا
- فوز المضيف · تعادل · فوز الضيف
- كلا الفريقين يسجل · أكثر من 2.5
- 62%· 71% 11 بطاقة حمراء
Dixon-Coles + Elo (öğrenen)
محسوب من 405 مباراة في الدوري · اعتبارًا من 8 نوفمبر 04:26
| # | الفريق | Elo | 30 يومًا | الهجوم | الدفاع | الأداء | الترتيب | الحظ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kettering Town(2) |
1551 | +18 | 1.49 | 0.73 | – | – | |
| 2 |  Chichester City(4) |
1550 | +22 | 1.13 | 0.86 | – | – | |
| 3 |  Chertsey Town(6) |
1550 | +31 | 1.22 | 0.85 | – | – | |
| 4 |  Leek Town(5) |
1550 | +18 | 1.24 | 0.80 | – | – | |
| 5 |  Waltham Abbey(4) |
1549 | +17 | 1.31 | 0.82 | – | – | |
| 6 |  Newmarket Town(3) |
1548 | +19 | 1.14 | 0.89 | – | – | |
| 7 |  Halesowen Town(4) |
1545 | +31 | 1.23 | 0.79 | – | – | |
| 8 |  Alfreton Town FC(6) |
1544 | +17 | 1.10 | 0.90 | – | – | |
| 9 |  Wimborne Town(4) |
1543 | +25 | 1.14 | 0.88 | – | – | |
| 10 |  Bourne Town(3) |
1542 | +12 | 1.02 | 0.97 | – | – | |
| 11 |  Didcot Town(3) |
1539 | +12 | 1.06 | 0.89 | – | – | |
| 12 |  Dartford(2) |
1538 | +13 | 1.12 | 0.92 | – | – | |
| 13 |  Hashtag United(6) |
1537 | +21 | 1.20 | 0.89 | – | – | |
| 14 |  Wingate & Finchley(3) |
1535 | +21 | 1.15 | 0.83 | – | – | |
| 15 |  Avro FC(2) |
1533 | +12 | 1.01 | 0.96 | – | – | |
| 16 |  Bootle FC(3) |
1532 | −18 | 1.17 | 0.93 | – | – | |
| 17 |  Stourbridge(3) |
1530 | +22 | 1.10 | 0.89 | – | – | |
| 18 |  Weymouth FC(6) |
1529 | +12 | 1.01 | 1.06 | – | – | |
| 19 |  Erith Town(3) |
1528 | −4 | 1.02 | 0.96 | – | – | |
| 20 |  Gloucester City(7) |
1528 | +2 | 1.17 | 0.86 | – | – | |
| 21 |  Chatham Town(8) |
1528 | 0 | 1.00 | 0.94 | – | – | |
| 22 |  Bromsgrove Sporting(3) |
1526 | +20 | 0.94 | 0.98 | – | – | |
| 23 |  Guiseley AFC(3) |
1526 | +23 | 1.09 | 0.97 | – | – | |
| 24 |  Bridlington Town(3) |
1525 | −4 | 1.04 | 0.99 | – | – | |
| 25 |  Aveley FC(4) |
1525 | +12 | 1.00 | 1.00 | – | – | |
| 26 |  Gosport Borough(5) |
1525 | −22 | 0.94 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 27 |  Anstey Nomads(7) |
1525 | −20 | 0.97 | 0.99 | – | – | |
| 28 |  Enfield Town(5) |
1524 | +21 | 1.19 | 0.93 | – | – | |
| 29 |  Whitehawk(2) |
1522 | −4 | 1.06 | 1.02 | – | – | |
| 30 |  Cray Wanderers(2) |
1522 | +19 | 0.97 | 1.00 | – | – | |
| 31 |  Willand Rovers(2) |
1521 | 0 | 0.94 | 1.07 | – | – | |
| 32 |  Uxbridge(3) |
1521 | +29 | 1.09 | 0.91 | – | – | |
| 33 |  Faversham Town(3) |
1520 | −19 | 1.08 | 0.93 | – | – | |
| 34 |  Gainsborough Trinity(8) |
1519 | 0 | 1.04 | 0.99 | – | – | |
| 35 |  Curzon Ashton FC(5) |
1517 | +4 | 1.00 | 1.01 | – | – | |
| 36 |  Bury FC(2) |
1516 | +18 | 1.08 | 0.97 | – | – | |
| 37 |  Blyth Spartans(2) |
1515 | 0 | 1.01 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 38 |  Southall FC(2) |
1515 | 0 | 0.89 | 1.10 | – | – | |
| 39 |  Bracknell Town(3) |
1515 | 0 | 0.92 | 1.00 | – | – | |
| 40 |  Workington(3) |
1515 | +14 | 1.12 | 0.97 | – | – | |
| 41 |  Ashford United(4) |
1511 | 0 | 0.91 | 1.06 | – | – | |
| 42 |  Brentwood Town(6) |
1511 | 0 | 1.09 | 0.95 | – | – | |
| 43 |  Three Bridges FC(2) |
1510 | −13 | 1.02 | 1.02 | – | – | |
| 44 |  Warrington Rylands 1906 FC(5) |
1509 | −23 | 0.91 | 1.13 | – | – | |
| 45 |  Loughborough Students(3) |
1508 | −22 | 0.88 | 1.18 | – | – | |
| 46 |  Burgess Hill Town(3) |
1507 | +4 | 1.15 | 1.01 | – | – | |
| 47 |  Cleethorpes Town(2) |
1506 | −14 | 1.07 | 1.01 | – | – | |
| 48 |  Stafford Rangers FC(2) |
1505 | 0 | 0.83 | 1.21 | – | – | |
| 49 |  Hanwell Town(7) |
1505 | 0 | 0.97 | 1.09 | – | – | |
| 50 |  Redditch United(3) |
1505 | −2 | 0.96 | 1.01 | – | – | |
| 51 |  Wellingborough Town(2) |
1504 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.15 | – | – | |
| 52 |  Shifnal Town(2) |
1504 | 0 | 0.98 | 1.00 | – | – | |
| 53 |  Redcar Athletic(2) |
1504 | −14 | 0.83 | 1.11 | – | – | |
| 54 |  Biggleswade FC(2) |
1503 | 0 | 0.92 | 1.17 | – | – | |
| 55 |  Runcorn Linnets FC(1) |
1503 | 0 | 0.85 | 1.14 | – | – | |
| 56 |  Malvern Town FC(1) |
1503 | 0 | 0.86 | 1.13 | – | – | |
| 57 |  Ramsgate FC(1) |
1503 | 0 | 0.90 | 1.12 | – | – | |
| 58 |  Eastbourne Borough FC(5) |
1503 | +3 | 0.99 | 1.08 | – | – | |
| 59 |  Bognor Regis(1) |
1502 | 0 | 0.87 | 1.12 | – | – | |
| 60 |  Thame United(2) |
1502 | 0 | 0.93 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 61 |  Poole Town(3) |
1502 | −12 | 0.85 | 1.11 | – | – | |
| 62 |  Cheshunt FC(4) |
1502 | 0 | 0.91 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 63 |  Bedworth United(2) |
1501 | 0 | 0.89 | 1.09 | – | – | |
| 64 |  Bath City(6) |
1501 | −3 | 0.99 | 0.93 | – | – | |
| 65 |  Frome Town(2) |
1501 | +3 | 0.87 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 66 |  Banbury United(3) |
1500 | −12 | 0.90 | 1.06 | – | – | |
| 67 |  Deal Town(3) |
1499 | −21 | 0.89 | 1.06 | – | – | |
| 68 |  Winslow United(2) |
1499 | 0 | 0.92 | 1.20 | – | – | |
| 69 |  Leatherhead(6) |
1499 | −3 | 0.97 | 1.07 | – | – | |
| 70 |  Ashton United FC(3) |
1499 | +14 | 0.87 | 1.13 | – | – | |
| 71 |  Welwyn Garden City FC(2) |
1498 | 0 | 0.83 | 1.26 | – | – | |
| 72 |  Hartpury University(1) |
1498 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.15 | – | – | |
| 73 |  Stalybridge Celtic FC(2) |
1498 | 0 | 0.83 | 1.25 | – | – | |
| 74 |  Ware FC(2) |
1498 | 0 | 0.84 | 1.18 | – | – | |
| 75 |  Stockton Town(6) |
1498 | 0 | 0.85 | 1.20 | – | – | |
| 76 |  Whitstable Town(1) |
1497 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.16 | – | – | |
| 77 |  Tiverton Town(2) |
1497 | 0 | 0.87 | 1.16 | – | – | |
| 78 |  Ashington AFC(1) |
1497 | 0 | 0.82 | 1.19 | – | – | |
| 79 |  Pontefract Collieries FC(1) |
1497 | 0 | 0.82 | 1.19 | – | – | |
| 80 |  St Albans City(4) |
1497 | +4 | 1.00 | 1.07 | – | – | |
| 81 |  Berkhamsted Town(2) |
1497 | −19 | 0.96 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 82 |  Needham Market FC(3) |
1496 | −21 | 0.93 | 1.05 | – | – | |
| 83 |  Takeley FC(3) |
1495 | −31 | 0.81 | 1.19 | – | – | |
| 84 |  Hayes & Yeading(2) |
1495 | 0 | 0.89 | 1.09 | – | – | |
| 85 |  Egham Town(3) |
1495 | −29 | 0.78 | 1.18 | – | – | |
| 86 |  Yate Town(3) |
1495 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.16 | – | – | |
| 87 |  Quorn FC(2) |
1495 | −18 | 0.88 | 1.29 | – | – | |
| 88 |  Hallam FC(2) |
1494 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.18 | – | – | |
| 89 |  Bishop's Stortford(4) |
1493 | 0 | 0.87 | 1.20 | – | – | |
| 90 |  AFC Croydon Athletic(2) |
1492 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.42 | – | – | |
| 91 |  Hanworth Villa(2) |
1492 | −21 | 0.77 | 1.39 | – | – | |
| 92 |  Sholing FC(2) |
1491 | −12 | 0.83 | 1.18 | – | – | |
| 93 |  Havant & Waterlooville(5) |
1491 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.26 | – | – | |
| 94 |  Carshalton Athletic(2) |
1491 | −12 | 0.86 | 1.17 | – | – | |
| 95 |  Dunston UTS(4) |
1490 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 96 |  Prescot Cables FC(5) |
1488 | −18 | 0.76 | 1.22 | – | – | |
| 97 |  Chasetown FC(3) |
1488 | 0 | 0.83 | 1.27 | – | – | |
| 98 |  Leighton Town(1) |
1488 | 0 | 0.86 | 1.15 | – | – | |
| 99 |  Walthamstow(1) |
1487 | 0 | 0.79 | 1.26 | – | – | |
| 100 |  Lower Breck FC(1) |
1487 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 101 |  Sutton Coldfield Town(1) |
1487 | 0 | 0.80 | 1.24 | – | – | |
| 102 |  Matlock Town FC(2) |
1487 | 0 | 0.90 | 1.17 | – | – | |
| 103 |  Hanley Town FC(1) |
1487 | 0 | 0.86 | 1.20 | – | – | |
| 104 |  Hitchin Town(1) |
1487 | 0 | 0.72 | 1.36 | – | – | |
| 105 |  Hertford Town(1) |
1486 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.24 | – | – | |
| 106 |  Aylesbury United(1) |
1486 | 0 | 0.72 | 1.35 | – | – | |
| 107 |  Eastbourne Town(1) |
1486 | 0 | 0.77 | 1.27 | – | – | |
| 108 |  Peacehaven & Telscombe(1) |
1486 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.34 | – | – | |
| 109 |  Basingstoke Town(2) |
1485 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.22 | – | – | |
| 110 |  Dulwich Hamlet(2) |
1485 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.22 | – | – | |
| 111 |  Hastings United(4) |
1484 | −17 | 0.89 | 1.13 | – | – | |
| 112 |  Guisborough Town(2) |
1484 | 0 | 0.77 | 1.21 | – | – | |
| 113 |  Whitby Town(1) |
1484 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.39 | – | – | |
| 114 |  Rushall Olympic FC(3) |
1484 | 0 | 0.79 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 115 |  Warrington Town FC(2) |
1484 | 0 | 0.84 | 1.21 | – | – | |
| 116 |  Raynes Park Vale(1) |
1483 | 0 | 0.65 | 1.53 | – | – | |
| 117 |  Sheppey United(1) |
1483 | 0 | 0.69 | 1.44 | – | – | |
| 118 |  Bristol Manor Farm(2) |
1483 | 0 | 0.82 | 1.23 | – | – | |
| 119 |  Larkhall Athletic(1) |
1483 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.46 | – | – | |
| 120 |  Morpeth Town(2) |
1483 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.27 | – | – | |
| 121 |  Shepshed Dynamo(1) |
1483 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.41 | – | – | |
| 122 |  Gorleston FC(1) |
1483 | 0 | 0.76 | 1.39 | – | – | |
| 123 |  Real Bedford(3) |
1483 | 0 | 0.77 | 1.30 | – | – | |
| 124 |  Hyde United FC(3) |
1483 | −12 | 0.84 | 1.15 | – | – | |
| 125 |  Worcester City(2) |
1482 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.21 | – | – | |
| 126 |  Evesham United(2) |
1482 | −31 | 0.75 | 1.36 | – | – | |
| 127 |  Stamford(1) |
1482 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 128 |  Herne Bay FC(1) |
1481 | 0 | 0.77 | 1.24 | – | – | |
| 129 |  Moneyfields(2) |
1481 | 0 | 0.80 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 130 |  Slimbridge AFC(1) |
1481 | 0 | 0.81 | 1.27 | – | – | |
| 131 |  Nantwich Town FC(1) |
1481 | 0 | 0.80 | 1.30 | – | – | |
| 132 |  Bury Town FC(1) |
1481 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.44 | – | – | |
| 133 |  Racing Club Warwick(1) |
1481 | 0 | 0.79 | 1.22 | – | – | |
| 134 |  FC United of Manchester(5) |
1481 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.37 | – | – | |
| 135 |  Horley Town(1) |
1480 | 0 | 0.70 | 1.54 | – | – | |
| 136 |  Nuneaton Town(1) |
1480 | 0 | 0.65 | 1.61 | – | – | |
| 137 |  Lancaster City(1) |
1480 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.54 | – | – | |
| 138 |  Emley AFC(1) |
1480 | 0 | 0.63 | 1.61 | – | – | |
| 139 |  Ascot United(1) |
1479 | 0 | 0.74 | 1.37 | – | – | |
| 140 |  Portland United(1) |
1479 | 0 | 0.73 | 1.34 | – | – | |
| 141 |  Mickleover FC(4) |
1479 | −17 | 0.84 | 1.15 | – | – | |
| 142 |  Boldmere St Michaels FC(1) |
1479 | 0 | 0.73 | 1.38 | – | – | |
| 143 |  Taunton Town(3) |
1479 | −25 | 0.79 | 1.36 | – | – | |
| 144 |  Maldon & Tiptree FC(1) |
1479 | 0 | 0.70 | 1.41 | – | – | |
| 145 |  Alvechurch FC(8) |
1479 | 0 | 0.87 | 1.06 | – | – | |
| 146 |  Congleton Town FC(2) |
1478 | 0 | 0.86 | 1.19 | – | – | |
| 147 |  Fakenham Town(1) |
1478 | 0 | 0.79 | 1.23 | – | – | |
| 148 |  Concord Rangers(1) |
1478 | 0 | 0.59 | 1.72 | – | – | |
| 149 |  Leamington(5) |
1478 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.31 | – | – | |
| 150 |  Ilkeston Town FC(3) |
1477 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.28 | – | – | |
| 151 |  Welling United FC(3) |
1476 | 0 | 0.86 | 1.17 | – | – | |
| 152 |  Peterborough Sports FC(5) |
1476 | 0 | 0.72 | 1.41 | – | – | |
| 153 |  Chippenham Town(3) |
1476 | 0 | 0.82 | 1.21 | – | – | |
| 154 |  Bamber Bridge FC(4) |
1476 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.32 | – | – | |
| 155 |  Canvey Island(4) |
1475 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.35 | – | – | |
| 156 |  Kidsgrove Athletic FC(1) |
1474 | 0 | 0.65 | 1.52 | – | – | |
| 157 |  AFC Whyteleafe(1) |
1474 | 0 | 0.70 | 1.46 | – | – | |
| 158 |  Cambridge City(2) |
1473 | 0 | 0.78 | 1.33 | – | – | |
| 159 |  AFC Sudbury(3) |
1472 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.47 | – | – | |
| 160 |  Stratford Town(2) |
1472 | 0 | 0.66 | 1.54 | – | – | |
| 161 |  Wythenshawe FC(1) |
1469 | 0 | 0.64 | 1.58 | – | – | |
| 162 |  AFC Stoneham(1) |
1469 | 0 | 0.65 | 1.55 | – | – | |
| 163 |  Silsden AFC(1) |
1469 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.54 | – | – | |
| 164 |  Lewes(3) |
1469 | 0 | 0.84 | 1.19 | – | – | |
| 165 |  Stanway Rovers(2) |
1467 | 0 | 0.73 | 1.32 | – | – | |
| 166 |  Potters Bar Town(2) |
1464 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.55 | – | – | |
| 167 |  Leiston(2) |
1464 | 0 | 0.68 | 1.45 | – | – | |
| 168 |  Plymouth Parkway(5) |
1455 | 0 | 0.69 | 1.47 | – | – |
كيف يتم الحساب؟
Elo
يلخّص Elo قوة كل فريق في رقم واحد: النتيجة الأفضل من المتوقع ترفعه، والأسوأ تخفضه. الفوز على خصم قوي يمنح نقاطًا أكثر؛ حوالي 1500 هو متوسط الدوري.
الهجوم / الدفاع
معاملات الفريق من نموذج Dixon-Coles: 1.00 هو متوسط الدوري. هجوم 1.30 ← توقع أهداف أعلى بنسبة 30% من المتوسط؛ دفاع 0.80 ← توقع استقبال أهداف أقل بنسبة 20% (كلما انخفض كان أفضل).
الحظ
الفجوة بين ترتيب الجدول وترتيب القوة. الفرق المتصدرة للجدول بما يفوق قوتها الفعلية تُعد محظوظة ويُرجَّح تراجعها؛ أما الفرق الأدنى من قوتها فتميل إلى التعافي. ليس سببًا كافيًا للرهان بمفرده.